Search results for "Polynomial chaos"
showing 5 items of 5 documents
Uncertainty quantification in simulations of epidemics using polynomial chaos.
2012
Mathematical models based on ordinary differential equations are a useful tool to study the processes involved in epidemiology. Many models consider that the parameters are deterministic variables. But in practice, the transmission parameters present large variability and it is not possible to determine them exactly, and it is necessary to introduce randomness. In this paper, we present an application of the polynomial chaos approach to epidemiological mathematical models based on ordinary differential equations with random coefficients. Taking into account the variability of the transmission parameters of the model, this approach allows us to obtain an auxiliary system of differential equa…
Solving continuous models with dependent uncertainty: a computational approach
2013
This paper presents a computational study on a quasi-Galerkin projection-based method to deal with a class of systems of random ordinary differential equations (r.o.d.e.'s) which is assumed to depend on a finite number of random variables (r.v.'s). This class of systems of r.o.d.e.'s appears in different areas, particularly in epidemiology modelling. In contrast with the other available Galerkin-based techniques, such as the generalized Polynomial Chaos, the proposed method expands the solution directly in terms of the random inputs rather than auxiliary r.v.'s. Theoretically, Galerkin projection-based methods take advantage of orthogonality with the aim of simplifying the involved computat…
Constructing adaptive generalized polynomial chaos method to measure the uncertainty in continuous models: A computational approach
2015
Due to errors in measurements and inherent variability in the quantities of interest, models based on random differential equations give more realistic results than their deterministic counterpart. The generalized polynomial chaos (gPC) is a powerful technique used to approximate the solution of these equations when the random inputs follow standard probability distributions. But in many cases these random inputs do not have a standard probability distribution. In this paper, we present a step-by-step constructive methodology to implement directly a useful version of adaptive gPC for arbitrary distributions, extending the applicability of the gPC. The paper mainly focuses on the computation…
Erratum to “Simulation of BSDEs with jumps by Wiener Chaos expansion” [Stochastic Process. Appl. 126 (2016) 2123–2162]
2017
Abstract We correct Proposition 2.9 from “Simulation of BSDEs with jumps by Wiener Chaos expansion” published in Stochastic Processes and their Applications, 126 (2016) 2123–2162. The proposition which provides an expression for the expectation of products of multiple integrals (w.r.t. Brownian motion and compensated Poisson process) requires a stronger integrability assumption on the kernels than previously stated. This does not affect the remaining results of the article.
Simulation of BSDEs with jumps by Wiener Chaos Expansion
2016
International audience; We present an algorithm to solve BSDEs with jumps based on Wiener Chaos Expansion and Picard's iterations. This paper extends the results given in Briand-Labart (2014) to the case of BSDEs with jumps. We get a forward scheme where the conditional expectations are easily computed thanks to chaos decomposition formulas. Concerning the error, we derive explicit bounds with respect to the number of chaos, the discretization time step and the number of Monte Carlo simulations. We also present numerical experiments. We obtain very encouraging results in terms of speed and accuracy.